TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cc5…9cf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST6956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.6
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.49
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+93.8%+$93.81
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+67.5%+$67.48
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Pacers (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$49.93
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Pelicans vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Wizards vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6041.7%25 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$144.08
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99.77
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.5%+$60.63
Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$63.14
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35.57
Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texans (-5.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Jaguars: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+285.1%+$72.16
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+300%+$39.9
Dodgers vs. Mets Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 2backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Yankees vs Royals Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 4backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
ALDS: Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3backed Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
NL Wildcard: Padres vs. Braves Game 2backed Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
AL Wildcard: Orioles vs. Royals Game 2backed Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
NL Wildcard: Brewers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+128.2%+$32.05
AL Wildcard: Royals vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Braves vs. Mets Doubleheader - Will there be a sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Who will win Game 1 of Braves vs. Mets?backed Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$126.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$175.91
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$82.09
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$99.84
Canadiens vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Flames vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+90.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$56.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Towson Tigers (-2.5)backed Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler score the most points at the Presidents Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.