MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Mets Doubleheader - Will there be a sweep?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3f924f4fb9a7bf95326d84eaf48563ce2db9e2d7a3d937aae366ce818009c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8352…d51abacked No | 68c | 4,585$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,555$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 77c | 1,075$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 5c | 600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 71c | 575.1$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked No | 54c | 575.1$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Yes | 38c | 131.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 49c | 77.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348b…2432backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 67c | 42.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked No | 77c | 32.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Mets Doubleheader - Will there be a sweep?this page
- Who will win Game 1 of Braves vs. Mets?Mets won
- Who will win Game 2 of Braves vs. Mets?Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.