MLB · resolved market
Who will win Game 2 of Braves vs. Mets?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877cb847edc780c492cd7115a73ae606a96a090306abd36ece14f3d99a50177f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Braves | 78c | 63,572$49,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,101.7 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Mets | 22c | 39,062$8,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,593.57 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mets | 23c | 32,833$7,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,551.59 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Mets | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Mets | 22c | 9,400$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…0b77backed Braves | 74c | 2,970$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mets | 26c | 2,130$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.46 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Mets | 22c | 1,500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Mets | 23c | 1,255$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Mets | 26c | 1,000$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Mets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Braves | 58c | 998.73$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Mets | 24c | 662$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Mets | 27c | 371.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Braves | 72c | 207.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…83dbbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Braves | 49c | 162$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Braves | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Mets | 27c | 116.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…b402backed Braves | 75c | 74.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Braves | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Braves | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Who will win Game 2 of Braves vs. Mets?this page
- Braves vs. Mets Doubleheader - Will there be a sweep?No won
- Who will win Game 1 of Braves vs. Mets?Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.