NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf206c0b213c0fb228e2695a51a8e982dbfae731d9b6550475fabb0075c910c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Oilers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 53c | 81,226$43,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,223.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Oilers | 47c | 66,050$31,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,043.63 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 53c | 27,002$14,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,690.94 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers | 47c | 25,361$11,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,919.9 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Oilers | 47c | 19,593$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 47c | 19,207$9,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,034.86 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Oilers | 47c | 9,550$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.5 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Capitals | 76c | 9,114$6,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.6 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 48c | 8,965$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.38 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Capitals | 53c | 8,551$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.16 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Oilers | 46c | 6,244$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.15 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Oilers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Oilers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Oilers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Capitals | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Oilers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…2be9backed Oilers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals | 80c | 4,837$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.78 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Capitals | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…d8acbacked Capitals | 54c | 4,070$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Capitals | 73c | 3,895$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.58 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Capitals | 54c | 3,889$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Oilers | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Oilers | 47c | 3,283$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.01 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Oilers | 47c | 3,051$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 70c | 3,034$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.77 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Oilers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3958…bf10backed Oilers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Oilers | 46c | 2,976$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.87 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oilers | 47c | 2,796$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.5 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 47c | 2,717$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.99 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Capitals | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 68c | 2,058$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.76 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Oilers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 47c | 1,941$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.27 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 53c | 1,905$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.6 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…fad6backed Capitals | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4007…5974backed Capitals | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Capitals | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 19c | 1,706$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.62 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…7b91backed Capitals | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Oilers | 48c | 1,580$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.4 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 34c | 1,557$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.42 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Oilers | 46c | 1,540$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…983dbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Oilers | 47c | 1,478$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.35 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 47c | 1,458$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 28c | 1,443$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Capitals | 52c | 1,369$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 54c | 1,321$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.17 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Capitals | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 76c | 1,298$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 46c | 1,280$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Capitals | 54c | 1,259$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Capitals | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Capitals | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Oilers | 47c | 1,140$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.7 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 47c | 1,086$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.23 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Oilers | 46c | 1,084$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.04 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Oilers | 29c | 1,001$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…274abacked Oilers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Oilers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…e1e7backed Oilers | 47c | 944.68$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…fbe1backed Capitals | 54c | 944.44$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Capitals | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Capitals | 54c | 925.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.71 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Oilers | 22c | 911.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…712cbacked Oilers | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…1760backed Capitals | 54c | 888.89$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Oilers | 47c | 888.64$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Capitals | 55c | 860.1$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.27 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Capitals | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…efdbbacked Oilers | 47c | 829.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Oilers | 34c | 820.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Capitals | 52c | 777.86$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…0789backed Oilers | 47c | 770.96$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Oilers | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…09f1backed Capitals | 54c | 744.44$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…abf5backed Oilers | 47c | 737.52$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oilers | 9c | 666$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 52c | 657.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.83 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Capitals | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Capitals | 50c | 624.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 77c | 624.54$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Oilers | 39c | 610.1$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers | 16c | 604.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Capitalsthis page
- Oilers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.