TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x669c…6c54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT4967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.67
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$113.07
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.62
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$178.43
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.77
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$86.85
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.69
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$474.45
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$110.79
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Blackhawks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$346.67
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$350.08
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$340
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+156.4%+$616.15
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$428
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$342.3
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$381.63
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$41.57
Kings vs. Senatorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$336.92
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$342.44
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$555
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$538
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$338.2
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$73.86
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.28
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$99.1
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$72.65
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$141.43
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.45
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$165.49
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$28.23
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$475.42
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$273
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$566
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$392.43
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$130.24
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$149.5
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$83.54
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$277.61
Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$293.53
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$245
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$317
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$423.71
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$240.2
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$98.48
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$453
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$166.91
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$180.82
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$133.44
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$742.58
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$702.99
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$60.17
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.68
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$189.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.