NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a2cfbddf8cd2efc38e14c398336e0c10f49d137b1ed3be3b2db751d8e2c2a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Rangers, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Rangers | 46c | 354,565$163,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 329,458$177,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,539.09 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 41c | 160,467$66,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,234.87 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Golden Knights | 56c | 96,904$54,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,838.59 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Rangers | 45c | 21,258$9,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,566 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 19,999$10,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.5 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Golden Knights | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Rangers | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 13,802$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Golden Knights | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Golden Knights | 55c | 9,000$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.98 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 44c | 8,805$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.69 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 7,669$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.05 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Rangers | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 70c | 5,200$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Rangers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Golden Knights | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Rangers | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,093$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.48 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.95 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Rangers | 46c | 2,995$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,973$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.73 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 70c | 2,873$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.25 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,865$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.11 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 43c | 2,586$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Rangers | 31c | 2,546$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,500$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.64 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,495$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.55 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,453$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.26 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Rangers | 42c | 2,448$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.16 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Rangers | 46c | 2,225$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.3 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,959$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.83 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,958$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.44 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,950$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.93 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,861$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.38 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rangers | 46c | 1,783$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights | 71c | 1,723$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,668$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Golden Knights | 71c | 1,514$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.06 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 31c | 1,390$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.52 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,363$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.35 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Rangers | 32c | 1,268$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,240$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Rangers | 41c | 1,223$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,127$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.15 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,105$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Rangers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,082$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.85 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rangers | 29c | 1,030$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Rangers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Rangers | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Golden Knights | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 995.16$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.17 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 68c | 994.18$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Golden Knights | 57c | 973$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Rangers | 44c | 972.73$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Golden Knights | 70c | 971$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rangers | 28c | 962.89$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.61 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Rangers | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…6002backed Golden Knights | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 72c | 875.66$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 868.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.1 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 865$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.95 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rangers | 44c | 852.01$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rangers | 44c | 810$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Rangers | 43c | 801.94$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…c1c2backed Rangers | 39c | 761.45$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights | 54c | 749.97$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 44c | 748$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.12 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Golden Knights | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Rangers | 45c | 722$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…9edabacked Golden Knights | 72c | 691.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Rangers | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Golden Knights | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -8.0wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Rangers | 44c | 626.82$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed Golden Knights | 56c | 616.41$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…a59fbacked Rangers | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Rangers | 46c | 576.09$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Golden Knights | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers | 43c | 521.54$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rangers | 32c | 521.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Rangers | 27c | 513.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Golden Knights | 58c | 505$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.1 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Rangers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Rangers | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Rangers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Rangers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 62c | 409.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Golden Knights | 55c | 396.36$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Rangers | 45c | 386.09$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Golden Knights | 53c | 383.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Rangers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.