NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ead9eaa1ae1917a79938708d66bd4a002a3146abed8666c3f33b04a107a9bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Golden Knights, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Golden Knights | 35c | 2,454$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 65c | 2,197$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 1,255$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.78 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Golden Knights | 33c | 909.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 67c | 907.39$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked Rangers | 75c | 719.64$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers | 56c | 699.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.96 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Golden Knights | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rangers | 66c | 219.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Golden Knights | 32c | 148.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Golden Knights | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Rangers | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Golden Knights | 33c | 99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Golden Knights | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 67c | 94.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…fc02backed Rangers | 69c | 85.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Golden Knights | 31c | 67.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…f940backed Rangers | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Golden Knights | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…f70abacked Rangers | 69c | 52.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…a0c4backed Rangers | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…53c3backed Rangers | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golden Knights | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…8f27backed Rangers | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…85bfbacked Rangers | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…f95dbacked Rangers | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Rangers | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5223…29d9backed Rangers | 68c | 21.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Rangers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Rangers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.