NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5923b56cac3f740336c0dd01c8801641003aa5ae88b61d36317b0499533bf1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Islanders, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,157,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,525,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Avalanche | 70c | 331,103$231,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,540.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Islanders | 30c | 200,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Islanders | 31c | 162,253$49,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,749.88 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 60c | 80,000$47,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,399.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 30c | 30,368$9,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,203.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Avalanche | 69c | 17,644$12,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.64 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Avalanche | 70c | 16,132$11,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche | 69c | 15,600$10,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.99 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Avalanche | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Avalanche | 59c | 14,215$8,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Avalanche | 69c | 12,980$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.93 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Islanders | 39c | 10,706$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.48 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Islanders | 41c | 10,555$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.15 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Islanders | 20c | 10,490$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.95 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 47c | 9,451$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.51 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 30c | 9,313$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.9 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 30c | 8,995$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.5 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Avalanche | 71c | 8,625$6,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.25 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…9867backed Avalanche | 71c | 7,710$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…5795backed Islanders | 29c | 7,700$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 34c | 7,373$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.11 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 72c | 5,355$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.43 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Islanders | 11c | 4,963$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.08 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 27c | 4,758$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.19 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche | 69c | 4,404$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.19 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 39c | 4,286$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.54 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 31c | 4,028$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 30c | 3,578$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 74c | 3,481$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.17 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Islanders | 10c | 3,300$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Islanders | 30c | 3,148$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Islanders | 41c | 3,143$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.54 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 50c | 3,053$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Islanders | 10c | 3,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Islanders | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Avalanche | 69c | 2,966$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.49 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders | 13c | 2,965$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.91 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 69c | 2,910$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.01 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.1 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 71c | 2,758$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.11 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 30c | 2,662$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.91 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Avalanche | 49c | 2,320$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Avalanche | 67c | 2,160$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.07 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Islanders | 12c | 2,116$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,099$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.37 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Avalanche | 70c | 2,016$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Avalanche | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Avalanche | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Avalanche | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,785$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.31 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 69c | 1,728$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…f7b9backed Islanders | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Islanders | 11c | 1,624$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Avalanche | 80c | 1,604$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 36c | 1,485$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.25 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…d672backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,379$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.79 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Islanders | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 69c | 1,150$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Avalanche | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,008$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Islanders | 14c | 1,002$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Islanders | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Avalanche | 70c | 998.57$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.57 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…1861backed Islanders | 53c | 983.5$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 69c | 911.99$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 22c | 899.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Avalanche | 70c | 899$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 70c | 883$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Avalanche | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Islanders | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Avalanche | 62c | 747$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Islanders | 15c | 737.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…dc26backed Islanders | 12c | 711.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Avalanche | 70c | 701.14$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Islanders | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Islanders | 25c | 610$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…4846backed Avalanche | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…251bbacked Avalanche | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…aefbbacked Islanders | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…d3c9backed Avalanche | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…f838backed Islanders | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…cac7backed Islanders | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…893fbacked Islanders | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…040abacked Avalanche | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…0d87backed Islanders | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…e0febacked Avalanche | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…32e0backed Avalanche | 70c | 590$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…b233backed Islanders | 30c | 590$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 67c | 588.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97e…c4e3backed Avalanche | 70c | 580$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…e3f5backed Islanders | 30c | 580$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…5baabacked Avalanche | 70c | 570$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49cb…4bc1backed Avalanche | 70c | 570$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…39f4backed Islanders | 30c | 570$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Avalanchethis page
- Islanders vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.