TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x132a…abe8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST4035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,193.98
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,361.13
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,097.95
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,610.39
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,251Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+341.7%+$11,108.25
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,124.29
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+271.4%+$9,822.27
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,217.46
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,808.16
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,059Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+218.4%+$15,415.37
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,480.34
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,031.79
Flames vs. Wildbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,556.3
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+194.1%+$11,220.23
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,140.94
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$493.69
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$836.3
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+73.7%+$1,032.43
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,313.74
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+119.2%+$715.06
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$4,282.55
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,040Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$8,222.9
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,863Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$4,487.69
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+1,127.2%+$14,075.62
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Chikadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$230
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$587.74
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$3,680.77
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,765.95
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,090.65
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,565
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,016.17
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Hermansson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$381.13
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$171.51
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$33,108.1
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,997Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$5,497.82
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,654.19
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$627.86
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$8,239.47
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$5,766.79
Schnell vs. Moralesbacked Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,310.83
Carnelossi vs. Alencarbacked Carnelossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,450.59
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,038.19
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13,159Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+76.6%+$10,077.97
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,092.5
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,582Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$3,582.11
Vera vs. Zahabibacked Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,215.6
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,594.24
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,508Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+272%+$12,259.98
Luque vs. Álvarezbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,509.93
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,167.01
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$906.82
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,997
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,349.7
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$44.15
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,537.3
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,975.98
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+426.3%+$3,258.35
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,561.71
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,434.48
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,139.35
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,398Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$8,501.26
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,314Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+150%+$3,471.63
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,165.42
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$977.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$536.34
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000.96
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$862.44
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$5,171.43
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,229.1
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,020.88
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$370.82
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,317.76
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,505.51
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,718Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+102.8%+$2,793.01
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$980.42
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Novak Djokovicbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,508
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,560.39
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+102.6%+$3,787.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison vs. Texas Statebacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,798.7
Lafayette Leopards vs. Oregon Statebacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,159.25
Texas vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.13
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,848.71
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,221Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,133.5
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+146.4%+$1,320.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,834.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.