Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50449ce18300b4d1b9378c2e8f524e2f3014a42fb911a74ebd629a2c285de2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Zverev, Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Zverev | 17c | 32,385$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Zverev | 12c | 10,779$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.9 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Zverev | 10c | 6,588$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.17 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Zverev | 7c | 5,429$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Zverev | 17c | 4,580$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zverev | 0c | 3,826$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Zverev | 1c | 2,798$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Zverev | 12c | 2,513$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Zverev | 0c | 2,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Zverev | 15c | 2,400$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Zverev | 16c | 1,301$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Zverev | 14c | 1,241$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…d34cbacked Zverev | 16c | 1,196$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Zverev | 3c | 996.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Zverev | 17c | 821.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Zverev | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Zverev | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zverev | 9c | 592.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Zverev | 10c | 403.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Zverev | 5c | 290.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Zverev | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zverev | 13c | 191.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zverev | 6c | 187.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Zverev | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zverev | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…e7d5backed Zverev | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd128…c0ebbacked Zverev | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Zverev | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…1004backed Zverev | 17c | 118.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked Zverev | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Zverev | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.