TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa776…a17b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$22.32
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$83.32
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$459.43
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$508.77
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$59.14
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+302.5%+$52.6
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.68
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.33
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34.08
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$102.95
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65.44
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.85
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$363.67
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$258.81
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.94
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublikbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+1,181.3%+$215.06
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.74
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Ivan Ivanovbacked Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42.31
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$126.75
Hellenic Championship: Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$207.19
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.03
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+823%+$161.39
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.06
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$119.04
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.66
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$13
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.66
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.67
Will Torino vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+244.8%+$42.6
Will Fiorentina vs. Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$23.6
Will Parma win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Como win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+148.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Ohio Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregonbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.17
Syracuse vs. Georgia Techbacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.46
North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Rocketsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Nets vs. Spursbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liechtenstein vs. Wales end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30.12
Will Norway win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$92.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HMBLE vs Deacoy (BO1)backed HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$656.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.