TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AJ Auxerre vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c49,442$6,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,975.931,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c13,582$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,642.1571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2507…d5f2backed Over38c5,432$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c2,649$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.6426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under18c2,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.993537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under18c1,169$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.5835037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over39c1,167$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over52c1,109$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c1,028$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.7437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under17c932.56$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over35c896.58$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under50c759.96$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.98520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under20c620$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.926334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over66c607.58$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under18c584.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2923151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over51c583$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+80.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdba1…a62bbacked Over51c458$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over46c437.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over61c430.77$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.771540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c414.48$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over20c399.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Over52c367.31$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over41c349.09$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.082334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over46c329.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.39850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over52c296.15$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over41c243.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under70c234.82$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+100.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under75c224.83$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.211553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under70c212.44$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a19…3f51backed Over41c196.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c171.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Under71c171$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over55c145$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.416242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over37c138.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over63c133.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over23c130.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Over43c130.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.21366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over44c121.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3526046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0eb…5fa3backed Under21c104.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over40c102.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.148856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over61c100.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over42c98.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over25c98.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over61c96.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c94.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Under18c88.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.62520%5 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under65c81.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaef…b9e3backed Over26c76.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa776…a17bbacked Over42c76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Over18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over40c74.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over15c66.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.312448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.618360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x572c…13dfbacked Over39c51.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over36c50.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe7f…9127backed Over67c50.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa797…0599backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa76e…4aebbacked Over68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under60c43.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.181752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.77844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over44c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under34c39.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202317.4%4 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Over65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under75c35.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under58c32.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Over50c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f0…af4ebacked Over64c27.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9d…8ce0backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed Under75c17.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Over63c17.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8dc…b65abacked Under61c17.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Under61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Over63c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.