TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75c0…dfd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT258%2 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-74.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$17.33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.4
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.35
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.86
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.42
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+94.5%+$19.86
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$34.58
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.98
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$14.19
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.05
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$22.5
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$28.64
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.67
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+86.5%+$31.67
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.55
76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.15
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$23.2
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+83.8%+$25.14
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+203%+$42.64
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150%+$15
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+89%+$46.18
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$17.5
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+116%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.3%+$20.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.