TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under64c70,430$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over36c28,788$10,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,424.331,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over37c10,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,350.131735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4007062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over37c9,499$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.5578248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over39c8,256$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.4675142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c6,118$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.662,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1502065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Under72c4,999$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under52c4,025$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10015540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over38c3,660$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.2844749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c3,556$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.723,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Over39c2,928$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under62c1,758$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.1256547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94527726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.961250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over41c1,381$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.632650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Over49c1,231$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over46c1,086$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.1751136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under68c1,083$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4438055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over60c1,073$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.866262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over36c972$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.089459.6%56 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over37c841.64$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.925729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Under77c824.68$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6351030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Under3c752.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.582025%5 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+285.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over39c593.71$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.714542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over36c527.01$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.298764.4%56 W · 31 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under62c519.13$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.816251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8222747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Under63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under61c444$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over36c420$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.822854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over36c420$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25624258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over37c378.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.458336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004920.4%10 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over36c376.71$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0933340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over43c350.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.286451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c338.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3910552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over36c330$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.213957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c302.09$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0953645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.278846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.162466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Under77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over37c259$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.171384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over39c257.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.447857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1608461.9%52 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over36c249.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.983452.9%18 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+85.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over37c217.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2476234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over38c212.23$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.575853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over39c210$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over48c209.69$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under59c204.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.620545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+135%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over37c199.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under64c190$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.617055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.212757.5%73 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under64c177$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.282250%11 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2919…bdadbacked Under61c172.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over38c171.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0511857.6%68 W · 50 L+15.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.86556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.813859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.812458.9%73 W · 51 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.812358.5%72 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c164.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0748658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.98459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610360.2%62 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966959.4%41 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611563.5%73 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c145.07$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.731,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Over68c142$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.449100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over58c122$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.054143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over49c120.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4111943.7%52 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.812259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.86162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.813254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89159.3%54 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over36c112$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6830054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1117930.2%54 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.111931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under66c106.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under63c102.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a69…7b8fbacked Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…7b54backed Under63c98.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under60c97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.214254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under33c96.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.368551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd56c…1cf9backed Over38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf924…bdd7backed Under38c88.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over37c85.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.585450%27 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under62c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.213852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Under63c79.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4476…be40backed Under63c76.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.