TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under65c32,553$21,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,227.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over34c25,904$8,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,085.389455.3%52 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over53c9,580$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.982236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c7,576$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,080.842,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over51c6,596$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.311181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c4,571$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.213,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under68c2,790$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88515540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under1c2,499$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.999451.1%48 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c2,102$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.675142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c2,079$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.731,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over20c1,250$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c1,151$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8353645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Over20c1,044$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.28850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under61c824.04$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6638055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under72c755$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over27c648.73$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4456547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under48c648.54$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over18c604.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.26251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over34c577.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.014143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over52c549.94$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9712952.7%68 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39522747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under53c497.23$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011252.7%59 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under79c399.99$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9933340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over23c364.86$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.546549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over5c340.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.525230.8%16 W · 36 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+193.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403452.9%18 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+85.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24320545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under70c299.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.995974.6%44 W · 15 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under68c283.63$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.242763%17 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Over52c272.81$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.959100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under8c261.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.451010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c240.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.881,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Over52c236.42$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16017930.2%54 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8219943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097f…3022backed Over34c168.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over19c155.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5510945.9%50 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c86fbacked Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over35c144.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2920753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over37c142.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.752650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c142$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1738151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over32c140.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.636439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over20c134$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.276234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4310552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2507…d5f2backed Over51c123.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+141.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over32c123.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.632441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed Under60c122.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.291030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over31c105$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.948658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over20c104.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.324658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…c162backed Under76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under80c98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick57cpaid-78.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.246851.5%35 W · 33 L+10.9wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over23c90.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.813324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2912069.2%83 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over32c80.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012951.2%66 W · 63 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5853…dc28backed Under58c79.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c76.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2478248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over56c76.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb509…c01dbacked Under72c75.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc0…8170backed Under60c69.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under80c65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over51c58.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.795942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over37c55.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.227230.6%22 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked Over22c53.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+344.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b81…b68bbacked Under62c51.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a1…3a10backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over34c47.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over53c45.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.453073.3%22 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…7e93backed Under51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…bd8cbacked Under75c44.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed Under57c42.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e82…7b54backed Under67c42.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x979f…4e13backed Under62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over39c39.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.29875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70c…0af4backed Under61c39.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Over32c37.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Over30c36.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.622065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7911065.5%72 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over30c34.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.855356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over38c32.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2710552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Under79c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…fb93backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under69c27.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Under72c26.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over66c22.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.65853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c22.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.862138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under49c21.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.392040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Under76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.