TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb063…c9d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.55
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+300%+$60
Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.77
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$34.58
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$20.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$42.11
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.37
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.94
CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$20.19
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24.92
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.7
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.93
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+150%+$37.5
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$38.71
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-0.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.54
Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$16.85
SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.