Tennis · resolved market
Lehecka vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec8fd3746258c4e3a8a0ed952438d3c4b3b81b7c75872219caee0a7fccfaaf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4738…4687backed Under | 61c | 1,631$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.53 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 55c | 999.98$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 39c | 950.94$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.28 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 44c | 682.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 645.45$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 468.11$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.32 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Under | 61c | 342.73$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…567ebacked Under | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Over | 47c | 316.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 63c | 315.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 38c | 287.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over | 44c | 285.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 278.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Over | 42c | 260.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over | 43c | 231.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Over | 45c | 224.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 51c | 195.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 160.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 49c | 121.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 57c | 117.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 57c | 104.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 46c | 101.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 37c | 93.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 69c | 64.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 56c | 63.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 60.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…4e95backed Under | 59c | 50.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 57c | 43.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…3100backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 42c | 31.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…9a9ebacked Under | 36c | 30.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…9728backed Under | 60c | 30.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 167 | 18.6%31 W · 136 L | -23.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…8222backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Under | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…ca7bbacked Under | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lehecka vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.