TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Lehecka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed Lehecka25c18,465$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.4457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Sinner75c15,400$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85034047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Lehecka23c11,259$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.522321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Lehecka25c10,984$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.855223.1%12 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Sinner77c7,410$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.34339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Lehecka14c7,140$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5610440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Lehecka29c5,487$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.1830740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sinner76c5,263$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.161,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c0…e4cabacked Sinner76c4,065$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Sinner71c3,720$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.7823731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…9dadbacked Lehecka17c3,000$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Sinner77c2,772$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lehecka25c2,128$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.561,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Lehecka26c1,754$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.222033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed Sinner77c1,685$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.644269%29 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb4…2be0backed Sinner78c1,568$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Sinner77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34545457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sinner72c1,441$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.049,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Lehecka24c1,357$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.582030%6 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Sinner75c1,340$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.047981%64 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sinner77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.759165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Lehecka24c1,225$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Lehecka26c1,141$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0742743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Sinner76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Lehecka33c914.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Sinner70c900$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2676446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Sinner73c822.19$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9926545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Sinner73c774.89$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2215354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lehecka22c745.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.987,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Sinner77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.359244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Sinner72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1688337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf0…8a9abacked Lehecka25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Lehecka24c493.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Sinner76c470.95$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0313852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lehecka26c454.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.471,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Sinner76c447.87$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4565157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sinner76c447.37$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.372,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Lehecka10c443.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.374060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Sinner71c424.85$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0913450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Lehecka25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea91…2a69backed Sinner74c373.28$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Lehecka18c340$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.114243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Lehecka24c333.48$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.454434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Sinner77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6832763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Lehecka26c322.7$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8584857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6265…c6c1backed Lehecka24c304.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sinner76c304.17$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7352844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sinner77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6989850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Lehecka22c277.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609425.5%24 W · 70 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f9…6112backed Sinner75c266.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Lehecka28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Lehecka25c235.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7817818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Sinner77c234.7$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9858359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed Sinner76c222.37$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.376762.7%42 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Sinner75c214.42$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.68854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a9…c488backed Sinner71c209.46$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.033161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Lehecka16c206.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.464415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Sinner77c201.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8819856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Lehecka25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+67.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Lehecka23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb069…498cbacked Sinner71c192.96$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Sinner76c191$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2c…3fb4backed Sinner76c190.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.791957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Lehecka13c190.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lehecka20c189.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.834,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Sinner77c181.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8219649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sinner72c181.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73fc…eec8backed Sinner80c154.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lehecka25c150.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.553,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Lehecka28c143.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2df0…0bcfbacked Sinner71c141.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.81825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Lehecka23c139.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.492,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Sinner76c131.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5813563%85 W · 50 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Lehecka21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Lehecka26c129.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Sinner75c122$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.555660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…8085backed Lehecka25c121.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ae…cdb5backed Sinner77c117.87$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.112669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Lehecka24c116.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.481442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Lehecka27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Sinner71c109.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6735439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c71…c4edbacked Lehecka24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa538…1ee9backed Sinner76c103.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-45.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Lehecka27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Sinner77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2329947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked Sinner77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Lehecka32c96.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5814949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Lehecka26c93.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2922646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Sinner71c91.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.993253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Lehecka26c86.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.492846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Lehecka42c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7150259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Lehecka26c84.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9840048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Lehecka24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Lehecka19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.813531.1%42 W · 93 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Lehecka25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48dc…c7d5backed Sinner79c77.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.246666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…1164backed Lehecka21c77.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Sinner77c70.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5312057.5%69 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf7…a5ffbacked Sinner71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Sinner76c67.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1118059.4%107 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.