TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe792…80bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT6549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.46
Barletta: Duje Ajdukovic vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.65
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$139.09
Set Handicap: Day (-1.5) vs Yuan (+1.5)backed Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.65
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Clement Taburbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+478.7%+$478.71
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,942
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$1,476.86
Kigali 2: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.09
Kigali 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Corentin Denollybacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.38
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,641.02
BNP Paribas Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Arthur Filsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.91
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$270.12
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$949.81
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Diane Parrybacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.2%+$269.51
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$306.4
BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.29
Chile Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Lugano: Tom Gentzsch vs Timofey Skatovbacked Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Tigre: Andrea Collarini vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Collarini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$805.16
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Lille: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Chidekhbacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$98.72
Les Sables d'Olonne: Sofia Costoulas vs Fiona Ferrobacked Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+77.3%+$380.38
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$72.34
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.06
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$579.82
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs ODDIK (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$334.29
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$228.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$878.63
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+190.5%+$502.65
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$179.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$472.8
Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.3
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs F5 Esports (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stagebacked FlyQuest RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+112.5%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.29
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO5) - VCL Latin America South Playoffsbacked Melser Kindergarten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$624.98
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.53
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.56
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Valorant: ALT F4 vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked ALT F4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$224.24
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs Farenvehn (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$111.77
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$135.55
Valorant: INTZ vs REMO E-Sports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group Abacked REMO E-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.71
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+52%+$7.91
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Valorant: Aura vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Map Handicap: ShindeN (-1.5) vs Aura (+1.5)backed Aura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Valorant: Leviatán Academy vs Farenvehn - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs ALT F4 (+1.5)backed ALT F4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81%+$20.25
Valorant: 9z Team vs ALT F4 (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked ALT F4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.7%+$597.17
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$116.22
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$136.33
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+177.8%+$57.9
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+70.2%+$31.61
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$64.2
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$255.24
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78.2
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.61
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$64.69
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+74%+$11.1
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,514.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$387.74
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$376.73
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$79.36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.18
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+30.4%+$103.43
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$83.7
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$132.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$175.33
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+125.5%+$18.82
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+173%+$42.83
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.09
Will Club Guaraní win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$93.84
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$246.09
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$91.71
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Deportivo Táchira FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+68.6%+$78.93
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$29.91
Will CA Platense win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$66.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+110.7%+$127.34
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-71.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,912Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,710.19
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.07
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$24.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+328%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+328%+$147.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$91.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Phil Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Nicaraguabacked Nicaragua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.