Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Tom Gentzsch vs Timofey Skatov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40103e56f019e53e59af1d2f30c4da3e8a9d49090680ecf6157af6d8197a412e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skatovof Gentzsch, Skatov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Skatov | 64c | 3,062$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.5 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Skatov | 54c | 2,952$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gentzsch | 49c | 1,891$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.11 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Skatov | 79c | 1,843$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.9 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gentzsch | 51c | 1,501$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.71 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Gentzsch | 28c | 1,412$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Gentzsch | 34c | 1,086$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.3 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gentzsch | 24c | 949.1$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Gentzsch | 52c | 948.89$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Gentzsch | 25c | 841.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Gentzsch | 49c | 776.34$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gentzsch | 36c | 746.32$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…4795backed Skatov | 79c | 598.73$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Gentzsch | 48c | 585$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.38 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Gentzsch | 8c | 496.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gentzsch | 24c | 391.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Skatov | 50c | 360.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Skatov | 46c | 341.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Skatov | 72c | 322$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Skatov | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Gentzsch | 22c | 293.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Skatov | 46c | 269.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gentzsch | 47c | 268$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Skatov | 53c | 250.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gentzsch | 49c | 247$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Skatov | 48c | 209.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Skatov | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Skatov | 78c | 163.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Skatov | 48c | 160.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Gentzsch | 29c | 152.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Skatov | 78c | 148$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gentzsch | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Skatov | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Skatov | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Skatov | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gentzsch | 21c | 124.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Skatov | 78c | 121.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Skatov | 78c | 110.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Gentzsch | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Skatov | 47c | 106.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Skatov | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Gentzsch | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Skatov | 79c | 97.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Skatov | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gentzsch | 22c | 91.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Gentzsch | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Skatov | 52c | 73.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Gentzsch | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Gentzsch | 43c | 63.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Gentzsch | 36c | 61.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Skatov | 60c | 61.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Gentzsch | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Gentzsch | 45c | 59.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gentzsch | 42c | 54.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Gentzsch | 28c | 53.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Skatov | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Gentzsch | 39c | 51.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Skatov | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Skatov | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Gentzsch | 24c | 48.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentzsch | 27c | 43.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Skatov | 56c | 42.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Gentzsch | 34c | 39.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Skatov | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…896dbacked Skatov | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…e2a7backed Gentzsch | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Skatov | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Skatov | 46c | 23.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Gentzsch | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Skatov | 51c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Skatov | 60c | 22.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Skatov | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Skatov | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Gentzsch | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Skatov | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.