TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d8f…d351

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wubacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$555
Chile Open: Francesco Passaro vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$86.33
St. Brieuc: Laurent Lokoli vs Jakub Paulbacked Lokoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150%+$49.5
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$160.76
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanovbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Dubai Tennis Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$86.83
Antalya: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Dalila Spiteribacked Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Antalya: Laura Pigossi vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
St. Brieuc: Mikhail Kukushkin vs George Loffhagenbacked Loffhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
St. Brieuc: Keegan Smith vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+194.1%+$64.06
Lugano: Alex Rybakov vs Maxim Mrvabacked Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Lugano: Murphy Cassone vs Petr Nesterovbacked Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+274.4%+$137.19
Pune: Ilia Simakin vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leongbacked Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+79.9%+$100.81
Antalya: Julia Riera vs Anastasia Zolotarevabacked Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+291.5%+$192.41
Mexican Open: Patrick Kypson vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Merida Open Akron: Katie Boulter vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$95.14
Chile Open: Nicolas Jarry vs Dino Prizmicbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+55.5%+$203.16
Chile Open: Francisco Comesana vs Pedro Martinezbacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.5%+$137.1
Merida Open Akron: Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Stakusic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+82.5%+$206.17
St. Brieuc: Clement Chidekh vs Roman Safiullinbacked Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
St. Brieuc: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Bouquierbacked Bouquier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+400%+$176
ATX Open: Alycia Parks vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96%+$105.57
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+670.5%+$2,480.69
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$82.73
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+397.2%+$158.87
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$19.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$435
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+46.8%+$233.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+244.8%+$85.69
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.33
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.7%+$133.35
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$58.33
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.83
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+177.8%+$58.67
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+158.9%+$508.61
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Millwall FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$138.33
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$213.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+457.2%+$184.2
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+154.5%+$24.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+50.1%+$355.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$919.26
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96%+$318.44
Dota 2: DOGSENT vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$934.61
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$685.56
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+54.8%+$447.52
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargersbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+400%+$99.44
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$275.1
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (W)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$53.86
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.4%+$68.85
Fairfield Stags vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+217.2%+$119.44
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Coppin State Eaglesbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.17
Radford Highlanders vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$294.12
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. William & Mary Tribebacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$163
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.16
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$35.75
SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+154.7%+$309.44
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.5%+$54.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$196.58
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$137.93
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+192.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+285.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Iowa Wildbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Kings vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+270.4%+$121.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.