CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ad9040374e16c48c4ffaf4df8ebcde46833784fb8d352418ce071d8ff3713c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Omega | 39c | 997.32$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Acend | 63c | 261.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 60c | 242.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Acend | 67c | 174.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf726…bcfebacked Acend | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Acend | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Omega | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Acend | 60c | 128.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Acend | 62c | 111.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Omega | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega | 17c | 104.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Acend | 63c | 102.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Acend | 61c | 102.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Acend | 61c | 100.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Acend | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Omega | 40c | 76.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Omega | 28c | 51.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Acend | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Acend | 63c | 41.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Omega | 37c | 35.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Omega | 33c | 33.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.