Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd37c06225b43560d0a75008e739ec363c8d7a0acd18ea75df40a89f4be2f95e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuof Ruud, Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ruud | 38c | 55,023$20,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,739.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wu | 42c | 40,268$16,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,337.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ruud | 66c | 22,321$14,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,809.61 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wu | 48c | 21,415$10,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,108.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…c304backed Ruud | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wu | 30c | 14,056$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,830.53 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wu | 46c | 12,043$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,530.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Ruud | 71c | 10,874$7,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,685.12 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Ruud | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Ruud | 45c | 7,624$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Wu | 50c | 6,887$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.38 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Wu | 30c | 6,843$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.35 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ruud | 55c | 6,551$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.65 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ruud | 54c | 5,769$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.73 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Ruud | 48c | 5,182$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Ruud | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wu | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.93 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wu | 45c | 3,826$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.28 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Wu | 52c | 2,869$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.37 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ruud | 65c | 2,861$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.76 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ruud | 71c | 2,819$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Ruud | 71c | 2,542$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Ruud | 68c | 2,309$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Ruud | 42c | 1,844$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.57 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Ruud | 69c | 1,769$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.61 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wu | 65c | 1,668$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ruud | 48c | 1,617$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wu | 37c | 1,582$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.34 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wu | 63c | 1,554$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Wu | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ruud | 65c | 1,281$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.77 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wu | 31c | 1,174$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.79 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Ruud | 54c | 1,159$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.44 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Wu | 55c | 1,090$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.52 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Wu | 60c | 1,000$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.31 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Ruud | 68c | 921.4$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.55 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…801cbacked Ruud | 70c | 904.29$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wu | 30c | 893$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.1 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Wu | 29c | 876.93$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.9 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Wu | 51c | 855.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Ruud | 69c | 804.35$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Ruud | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Ruud | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Ruud | 68c | 777.26$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.54 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Wu | 33c | 758.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.27 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Ruud | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Ruud | 69c | 730.49$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.04 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Wu | 32c | 705.19$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.53 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ruud | 71c | 704.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Wu | 29c | 643.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.8 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…a0e9backed Wu | 63c | 630$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Ruud | 33c | 614.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Ruud | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Ruud | 71c | 562$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.02 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ruud | 68c | 545.59$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c33backed Wu | 59c | 536.46$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Ruud | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Ruud | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Ruud | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Ruud | 33c | 499.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Ruud | 70c | 496.82$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.73 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Ruud | 62c | 478$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.36 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Wu | 30c | 476.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Wu | 32c | 462.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed Ruud | 68c | 452.21$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Ruud | 44c | 447.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Wu | 33c | 444$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.48 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Ruud | 55c | 440$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Wu | 67c | 422.03$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…20a3backed Wu | 38c | 400$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wu | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wu | 33c | 369.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.7 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Wu | 32c | 368.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.23 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Ruud | 72c | 360.52$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Ruud | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Wu | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Ruud | 69c | 326.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Ruud | 68c | 325$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Ruud | 46c | 324.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Wu | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Wu | 54c | 314.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wu | 52c | 310.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Wu | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Wu | 36c | 302.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Ruud | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Ruud | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Ruud | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wu | 33c | 298$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.66 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Ruud | 69c | 294.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wu | 53c | 291.59$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Ruud | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Ruud | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Ruud | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ruud | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wu | 32c | 278$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Ruud | 72c | 277.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Wu | 33c | 267.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…4954backed Ruud | 57c | 263.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 105 | 70.5%74 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Ruud | 70c | 253$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wu | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs WuWu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.