TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe289…c31a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$375.26
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+199.8%+$1,024.02
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$911.11
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$468.7
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$466.67
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$289
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$187.77
Nottingham Open: Emma Navarro vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$514.29
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$104.08
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$197.01
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$185.05
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.18
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$176
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$314.18
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.44
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$61.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$70.14
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$195.1
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$73.76
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$332.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$150.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$299.44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$181.82
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$71.37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$428
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$114.66
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$103.76
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+32%+$63.12
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$134.88
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.85
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$698.39
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.8
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$675
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$607.05
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$547.14
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$518.14
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$891
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$606
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$233.33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$157.49
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$467.64
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$123.13
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$85.63
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$992
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$217.78
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$45.39
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$61.6
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.7
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$293
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$687
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$388.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$815.79
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$89.97
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$846
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.84
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.96
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.64
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$190.13
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.63
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$515.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$289.08
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$170.95
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$176.37
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.23
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$294.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$104.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.