CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d6599ddb274f70b7b28342e9bb8ae1a754b6219d1940bc4346c400e7933d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Vitality | 31c | 85,486$26,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,191.58 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spirit | 69c | 65,597$45,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,261.82 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Vitality | 49c | 59,121$29,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,035.09 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Spirit | 49c | 29,080$14,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.12 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 70c | 19,897$13,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,928.14 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 68c | 12,032$8,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,181.66 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Spirit | 52c | 11,501$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.54 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 67c | 9,568$6,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,365.92 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Vitality | 32c | 8,393$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.24 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit | 69c | 7,378$5,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.11 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 28c | 6,914$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.81 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality | 27c | 6,264$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.49 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Spirit | 69c | 4,345$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality | 47c | 4,122$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.6 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 72c | 4,072$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Vitality | 31c | 3,088$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.56 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Vitality | 31c | 2,358$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.13 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spirit | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Spirit | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Spirit | 69c | 1,900$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 30c | 1,597$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.67 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 30c | 1,564$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.86 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 30c | 999.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.94 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…895dbacked Vitality | 51c | 999.09$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Vitality | 49c | 993.14$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.5 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Vitality | 30c | 958$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.6 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Vitality | 32c | 956.47$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.4 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Vitality | 30c | 944.81$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.33 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 69c | 777$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.13 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Vitality | 35c | 765.11$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.61 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Vitality | 31c | 737.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.77 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…2511backed Vitality | 48c | 647$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Vitality | 31c | 617.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.4 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Vitality | 39c | 611.39$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.95 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Vitality | 32c | 607.17$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Vitality | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Spirit | 70c | 587.63$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.34 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…e663backed Vitality | 31c | 577.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Spirit | 69c | 568.93$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Vitality | 49c | 568.19$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit | 65c | 562.01$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.57 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Vitality | 31c | 558.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.64 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality | 31c | 545.11$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.13 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Spirit | 52c | 531.25$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Spirit | 69c | 516.71$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Spirit | 49c | 511.61$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Vitality | 31c | 510.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed Vitality | 15c | 497.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vitality | 31c | 493.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.84 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed Vitality | 31c | 463.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Vitality | 30c | 458.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.94 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Spirit | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Vitality | 30c | 391.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.24 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Spirit | 67c | 335$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…b444backed Vitality | 30c | 320.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.65 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Spirit | 69c | 316.26$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Spirit | 71c | 310.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.74 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Vitality | 31c | 309.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Vitality | 32c | 302.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Vitality | 32c | 301.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Vitality | 32c | 298.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Vitality | 34c | 273.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spirit | 62c | 253.64$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Spirit | 79c | 250.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Spirit | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Spirit | 69c | 249.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…6d27backed Vitality | 32c | 245.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Vitality | 21c | 237.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Spirit | 49c | 237.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37da…41d2backed Spirit | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Vitality | 45c | 226.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Vitality | 49c | 207.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Vitality | 50c | 197.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Vitality | 51c | 188.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Vitality | 56c | 169.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…b3d7backed Vitality | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Vitality | 30c | 150.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Spirit | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…f687backed Spirit | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality | 63c | 121.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Vitality | 19c | 120.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Spirit | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…2e59backed Spirit | 37c | 117.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Vitality | 36c | 110.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Vitality | 31c | 109.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Spirit | 69c | 109.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Vitality | 51c | 109.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed Vitality | 27c | 107.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Vitality | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Spirit | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7863…4850backed Vitality | 31c | 98.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Spirit | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Vitality | 31c | 97.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Spirit | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Vitality | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Vitality | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Vitality | 27c | 94.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac2…7e7cbacked Vitality | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.