CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30f87addb5d39b3b1fa26593c19d31c7ca33f0c53f0c22a6a9f5b9afad5c38c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Vitality | 58c | 182,354$104,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,388.68 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 42c | 130,675$54,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,883.67 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Spirit | 43c | 90,292$38,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,825.47 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Spirit | 42c | 33,771$14,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,347.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.97 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Vitality | 62c | 19,348$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.08 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 58c | 15,601$9,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480.36 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 44c | 11,203$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Spirit | 42c | 10,272$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 57c | 10,101$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.43 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Spirit | 38c | 9,550$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.97 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Spirit | 41c | 7,711$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.56 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 58c | 7,656$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.09 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 38c | 7,317$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.57 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0980…1306backed Spirit | 42c | 6,756$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Vitality | 62c | 6,323$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.75 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality | 58c | 6,219$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.79 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Vitality | 71c | 5,269$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.07 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 54c | 4,496$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.36 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Vitality | 58c | 4,367$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 47c | 4,257$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.67 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Vitality | 49c | 4,211$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.44 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit | 41c | 3,536$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.78 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 43c | 3,400$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.34 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Vitality | 57c | 3,399$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.11 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Vitality | 61c | 3,183$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.37 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Vitality | 58c | 2,962$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Vitality | 58c | 2,835$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.64 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Spirit | 40c | 2,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 59c | 2,480$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.73 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Vitality | 71c | 2,098$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Spirit | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 59c | 1,995$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.37 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Spirit | 29c | 1,981$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.59 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Vitality | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.83 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Vitality | 51c | 1,913$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.06 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Spirit | 38c | 1,769$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.42 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Vitality | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Vitality | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Vitality | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 58c | 1,463$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.37 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Vitality | 58c | 1,442$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.78 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Spirit | 43c | 1,371$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.72 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Spirit | 37c | 1,366$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.27 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Spirit | 37c | 1,314$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.33 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Vitality | 58c | 1,203$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.22 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Vitality | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Vitality | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…95f3backed Vitality | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Vitality | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Vitality | 58c | 984.21$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 59c | 982.37$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.91 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Vitality | 58c | 946.23$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.42 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Vitality | 58c | 943$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality | 58c | 835.89$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Spirit | 38c | 767.71$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Spirit | 42c | 727.68$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.18 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Spirit | 38c | 718.25$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Spirit | 40c | 714.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Spirit | 42c | 692.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Spirit | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Spirit | 42c | 689.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Spirit | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaa…040abacked Spirit | 42c | 650.36$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Vitality | 58c | 643.37$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.21 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Spirit | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…a524backed Spirit | 42c | 629.56$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Vitality | 51c | 601.25$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Vitality | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Spirit | 35c | 552.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Vitality | 54c | 547.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Vitality | 64c | 540.29$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Vitality | 59c | 530.64$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 49c | 512.45$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Vitality | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Vitality | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Vitality | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Vitality | 57c | 498.28$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spirit | 29c | 484.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spirit | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit | 42c | 475.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit | 47c | 471.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Spirit | 40c | 470.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Spirit | 41c | 455.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…3961backed Spirit | 38c | 443.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Vitality | 55c | 443.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Vitality | 52c | 435.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Vitality | 58c | 424.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Vitality | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Vitality | 58c | 419.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked Spirit | 42c | 413.66$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Vitality | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Vitality | 59c | 390.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vitality | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9805backed Vitality | 58c | 368.07$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Spirit | 42c | 367.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Vitality | 59c | 364.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Spirit | 43c | 357.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…375ebacked Vitality | 58c | 349.31$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.