CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2dff631c1d24928bf483742d533c5b53294982514357d88c855b29e456a84b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Under | 73c | 3,003$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.29 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 24c | 2,196$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 32c | 1,513$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 71c | 991.06$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 29c | 777$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…d090backed Under | 77c | 736.97$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 29c | 703.14$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 73c | 698.93$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 68c | 540$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 75c | 398.69$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 20c | 279.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 33c | 263.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 25c | 208.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Under | 73c | 118.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 67c | 108.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 29c | 90.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 81.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…f86fbacked Under | 69c | 77.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 29c | 77.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf1…dc31backed Over | 33c | 73.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 39c | 68.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked Over | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 70c | 54.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Under | 74c | 53.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 68c | 47.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Over | 42c | 45.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 69c | 43.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…04a5backed Under | 73c | 40.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 257 | 51.4%132 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…0ae9backed Under | 70c | 40.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe374…bfe5backed Under | 70c | 36.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…a9fcbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 338 | 69.8%236 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 79c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.