CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0233cfec29be8bfa89208bf79e97218844abc1978422420fbadfb900b0abf4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Spirit, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,591,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,637,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,591,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,094 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Spirit | 14c | 362,920$51,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,892.42 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 21c | 266,406$56,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,632.7 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Vitality | 75c | 196,990$147,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,247.52 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Spirit | 25c | 189,931$47,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,482.7 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Vitality | 80c | 172,161$137,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,811.96 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Vitality | 79c | 121,251$96,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,095.88 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Spirit | 14c | 114,768$15,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,867.59 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Spirit | 12c | 114,180$13,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,782.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…389dbacked Spirit | 21c | 104,198$21,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,926 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Vitality | 76c | 99,275$75,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,825.95 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 75c | 76,190$57,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,047.5 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Spirit | 24c | 49,999$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.87 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Spirit | 25c | 45,840$11,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,460 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality | 75c | 40,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…ce84backed Spirit | 9c | 39,638$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Spirit | 25c | 38,952$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked Spirit | 25c | 34,380$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spirit | 25c | 33,877$8,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,469.18 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 76c | 32,525$24,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,805.95 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…947abacked Spirit | 4c | 31,840$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 26c | 31,089$7,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,935.84 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Spirit | 25c | 27,883$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Vitality | 75c | 26,667$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.66 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Vitality | 76c | 20,303$15,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.81 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…d00bbacked Vitality | 75c | 20,100$15,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Spirit | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality | 76c | 19,750$15,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.98 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 18c | 18,690$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.62 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Spirit | 23c | 18,381$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.11 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spirit | 25c | 15,850$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.44 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Spirit | 23c | 15,722$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.01 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Vitality | 71c | 15,457$11,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 75c | 14,971$11,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.17 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 24c | 13,877$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.42 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Vitality | 75c | 13,563$10,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.7 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Vitality | 75c | 13,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Spirit | 15c | 12,957$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.89 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Vitality | 77c | 12,808$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…3a12backed Vitality | 76c | 12,242$9,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Vitality | 75c | 11,760$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Vitality | 76c | 11,749$8,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.84 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Spirit | 24c | 11,238$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.3 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit | 2c | 10,427$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spirit | 23c | 10,074$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.75 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Spirit | 25c | 10,028$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 75c | 9,928$7,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.72 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…d45fbacked Spirit | 6c | 9,436$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 9c | 8,774$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.83 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Spirit | 24c | 8,500$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Vitality | 75c | 8,178$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.43 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Spirit | 6c | 7,865$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.91 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Spirit | 25c | 7,622$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.58 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Spirit | 24c | 7,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spirit | 25c | 6,978$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.56 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Spirit | 1c | 6,774$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Spirit | 27c | 6,401$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.23 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Spirit | 24c | 5,944$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Vitality | 75c | 5,938$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.56 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…505dbacked Spirit | 18c | 5,713$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Spirit | 25c | 5,572$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Vitality | 75c | 5,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 74c | 5,476$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.9 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…be30backed Vitality | 75c | 5,437$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Vitality | 76c | 5,286$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.62 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Vitality | 77c | 5,102$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.01 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Vitality | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Vitality | 72c | 5,000$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.29 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit | 16c | 4,970$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit | 25c | 4,775$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.75 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Spirit | 18c | 4,543$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.56 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Vitality | 76c | 4,325$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.96 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Spirit | 5c | 4,259$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Spirit | 25c | 4,202$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.57 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Spirit | 25c | 4,140$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 76c | 4,103$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.01 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Vitality | 75c | 4,079$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.39 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Vitality | 74c | 4,073$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.2 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Vitality | 63c | 4,037$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.33 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…1404backed Spirit | 12c | 4,036$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.46 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Spirit | 5c | 4,006$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Vitality | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Spirit | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spirit | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.96 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Spirit | 25c | 3,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Spirit | 24c | 3,993$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.33 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vitality | 76c | 3,992$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.12 | 461 | 43.4%200 W · 261 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed Spirit | 25c | 3,982$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 76c | 3,942$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.67 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 74c | 3,905$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.34 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Vitality | 76c | 3,891$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Spirit | 6c | 3,847$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Spirit | 23c | 3,824$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.39 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 25c | 3,820$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Spirit | 5c | 3,795$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Vitality | 74c | 3,784$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.99 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 28c | 3,736$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.63 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.