TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fac…1fee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Stocks, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$133.37
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30,673Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20,877.92
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.15
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,366.42
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5,077.8
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$590.48
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.1
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,910.75
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.31
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,632Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$1,523.39
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,909.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$879.89
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$261.24
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$6,958.38
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,203
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,992Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,476.39
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.17
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.99
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$437
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,215.43
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.07
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.81
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.69
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+188.7%+$188.71
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,064.23
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,287.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.41
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$521.85
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$599.75
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$192.24
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+41%+$2,802.23
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,546.73
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,631.74
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,109.45
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.01
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.13
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.76
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.22
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$352.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.8
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+98%+$302.65
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$200.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$334.55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,642.78
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.26
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,038.85
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,837.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,799Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$2,456.49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.27
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.23
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.79
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.18
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+34%+$137.21
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$163.55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,779.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70,596.61
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.97
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$414.02
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,984.37
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$425.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.95
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.64
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$205.47
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$200.58
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,868.46
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.12
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.89
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,924Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$3,567.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.72
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.29
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$92.59
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,158.54
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$65
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$2,629.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38%+$187.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moeller vs. Mackenzie: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,863.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.