Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa72f254d5a2c811925b3c1e2bc001e2e10d51e059c4f83819cbb00dee99c13ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof EDward Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed EDward Gaming | 27c | 9,398$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.59 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 5,908$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.01 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked EDward Gaming | 25c | 4,119$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.67 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 3,084$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.51 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming | 19c | 2,289$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.23 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed EDward Gaming | 27c | 1,793$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.14 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 1,507$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 1,100$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed EDward Gaming | 26c | 746.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 667$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked EDward Gaming | 28c | 505.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed EDward Gaming | 27c | 224.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed EDward Gaming | 25c | 149.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 110.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked EDward Gaming | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed EDward Gaming | 28c | 70.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…3a68backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 72c | 65.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed EDward Gaming | 24c | 65.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…2038backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked EDward Gaming | 25c | 57.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9815…c4bbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 34.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 31.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 25.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.