Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5b84da533ba31616dee45db4f26d367b6b78792deede400eee2cee287fd660

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,097 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under	50c	4,033$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016.32	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	50c	1,917$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.18	2,497	39.9%996 W · 1,501 L	-75.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	50c	1,008$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	51c	893.57$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.85	2,923	44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L	-91.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over	50c	659.46$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.73	137	35%48 W · 89 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over	49c	592.24$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.2	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Over	69c	492.16$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	371	61.7%229 W · 142 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under	57c	490$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.75	558	44.6%249 W · 309 L	-27.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under	51c	463$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.87	379	48.3%183 W · 196 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	395	41.3%163 W · 232 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under	50c	331.9$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.59	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over	50c	300.79$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.4	629	42.4%267 W · 362 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	49c	224.49$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Under	25c	220$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	254	40.2%102 W · 152 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	49c	208.2$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.18	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-13.6wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under	58c	206.46$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.12	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa909…500dbacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dad…ee77backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	32c	197.66$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.03	1,133	31.1%352 W · 781 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e19…e1e8backed Under	51c	188.58$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.4	86	58.1%50 W · 36 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	59c	187.74$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.12	972	54.3%528 W · 444 L	+46.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over	44c	176.98$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.58	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over	50c	169$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Over	61c	163.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	196	37.8%74 W · 122 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over	41c	162.75$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	45c	157.41$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.35	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	63c	155.93$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.36	1,168	66.1%772 W · 396 L	+69.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over	49c	154.01$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.47	461	48.8%225 W · 236 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Over	49c	143.81$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.63	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	51c	139.08$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.15	245	43.3%106 W · 139 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under	41c	111.62$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.92	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	51c	111.49$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.63	373	43.4%162 W · 211 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	50c	102$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	923	54.3%501 W · 422 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	612	56.2%344 W · 268 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaac…8069backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under	52c	99.23$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.63	470	47.4%223 W · 247 L	+24.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8838…b9febacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over	35c	86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.42	198	35.4%70 W · 128 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Under	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	47c	65.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	2,222	37.4%832 W · 1,390 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under	47c	57.93$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.48	381	55.1%210 W · 171 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	24c	54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	2,303	39.4%907 W · 1,396 L	-82.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	251	54.2%136 W · 115 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over	47c	42.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	-10.7wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-19%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	52c	42$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	1,459	43.3%632 W · 827 L	-33.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	40.1%61 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under	51c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	79	38%30 W · 49 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-34%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Under	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.84	207	55.6%115 W · 92 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	51c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	530	47.2%250 W · 280 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	32c	32.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	395	7.1%28 W · 367 L	-122.2wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	49c	29.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	245	44.5%109 W · 136 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under	54c	21.85$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	386	55.2%213 W · 173 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,048	46.1%483 W · 565 L	-43.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ce…d827backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	267	54.7%146 W · 121 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x269d…7439backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefc9…2d41backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
First Blood in Game 2?EDward Gaming won
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event