Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3460ef34b948497eec3bc94db8b1a9924b6fa7cec4dce05f7700a4a05ab66677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 1,788$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.86 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 669.87$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 572.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.66 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 377.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed EDward Gaming | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked EDward Gaming | 31c | 342.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked EDward Gaming | 29c | 237.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed EDward Gaming | 43c | 205.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked EDward Gaming | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked EDward Gaming | 43c | 199.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked EDward Gaming | 29c | 188.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 179.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 165.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked EDward Gaming | 47c | 137.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 125.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 124.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked EDward Gaming | 62c | 64.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 62.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 51.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 46.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…9c9fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked EDward Gaming | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked EDward Gaming | 68c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed EDward Gaming | 76c | 29.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…afa7backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…05c0backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 219 | 45.2%99 W · 120 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 14.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.