Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1dc9612cd195968bce3855d522f1431e217995c8d33def026d56ef2559a703b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 56c | 2,514$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.17 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 56c | 1,333$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.88 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.41 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Under | 44c | 1,139$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.29 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 56c | 772.37$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.74 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Under | 43c | 559.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 43c | 534.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.69 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Under | 47c | 456.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.07 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Under | 53c | 286.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 44c | 205.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 36c | 172.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 166$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Over | 57c | 80.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Over | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 46c | 48.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.