TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed EDward Gaming49c481.67$236 inWon+$245.653,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0593…4892backed ThunderTalk Gaming51c281.92$144 inLost-$143.7810028%28 W · 72 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed08…ed3bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming51c196.08$100 inLost-$10022444.6%100 W · 124 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed EDward Gaming53c188.68$100 inWon+$88.6862739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed ThunderTalk Gaming47c164.16$77 inLost-$77.1696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fc…5dafbacked ThunderTalk Gaming48c45.77$22 inLost-$21.977843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc0…4dfcbacked EDward Gaming50c44.34$22 inWon+$22.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming56c41.6$23 inWon+$18.362,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked ThunderTalk Gaming48c39.33$19 inLost-$18.888237.8%31 W · 51 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf56c…e04fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming50c20$10 inLost-$101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.