TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf67…6842

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 50 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT11931.1%37 W · 82 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 2?backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
First Blood in Game 2?backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$105.15
First Blood in Game 2?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$39.47
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
First Blood in Game 2?backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.96
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$51.78
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10628.3%30 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$203.84
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$265.71
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$93.7
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.