Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Belgium?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd125f35b606038dd3862fd49d5d2343337e9cf6e41af1c6b217a658822577283

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $159,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $151,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,555 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes	7c	19,778$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.86	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	7c	19,455$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	6c	11,536$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.77	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Yes	7c	9,155$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.88	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	6c	8,409$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes	6c	8,333$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes	1c	8,199$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.99	236	37.7%89 W · 147 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes	2c	4,964$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.27	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	6c	3,591$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.89	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	9c	2,997$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.06	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes	6c	2,219$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.38	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes	11c	2,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.1	131	18.3%24 W · 107 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0a40backed Yes	11c	1,702$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.94	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes	6c	1,670$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	327	39.1%128 W · 199 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked Yes	8c	1,189$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca22…e5d9backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes	9c	1,080$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.19	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad10…b35cbacked Yes	7c	1,029$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.01	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+114.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc38c…ef7fbacked Yes	11c	934.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	246	20.3%50 W · 196 L	-21.8wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes	9c	713.09$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.18	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes	6c	683.33$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Yes	6c	666.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	205	44.9%92 W · 113 L	+14.2wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes	10c	508.87$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.89	324	22.5%73 W · 251 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	187	23.5%44 W · 143 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	389	33.2%129 W · 260 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes	7c	428.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	218	37.6%82 W · 136 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…9ca3backed Yes	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cb…afc9backed Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e485backed Yes	7c	399.68$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	194	50.5%98 W · 96 L	+13.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	10c	379.31$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.04	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	6c	378.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	6c	360.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	7c	348$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe39b…8738backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	8c	311.37$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.58	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…9756backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	35%62 W · 115 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	6c	257.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes	6c	256.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	96	7.3%7 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	106	28.3%30 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…cd06backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab5…0adcbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	9c	210$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08dc…02dcbacked Yes	11c	185.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes	6c	180$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	200	14.5%29 W · 171 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes	10c	179.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d51…0e4cbacked Yes	11c	171.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	228	25.4%58 W · 170 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x895d…a454backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba70…bb13backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…47dbbacked Yes	11c	118.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca69…7153backed Yes	11c	102.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	30	30%9 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1201…6b9abacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	32.7%33 W · 68 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fe…9762backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes	13c	81.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Yes	13c	81.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Belgium?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Belgium?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Belgium?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event