Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeafe3489ed5637d241b9a4c5f7ad2f2cf1b59e2c09c841938f2a57dd45185de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 119,379$92,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,592.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 49,254$10,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 10c | 28,510$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.75 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 38c | 22,875$8,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.9 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 10c | 20,189$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.98 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 19,173$14,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.15 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 14,960$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.6 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 12,060$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 35c | 12,004$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.71 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 7,591$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.33 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 5,222$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.24 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 32c | 4,444$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.92 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 37c | 4,205$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.32 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 37c | 4,105$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.29 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 39c | 3,228$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.85 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed Yes | 9c | 2,250$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…c1bebacked Yes | 38c | 2,054$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.34 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 29c | 1,950$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,858$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.26 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 14c | 1,764$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 69c | 1,585$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.65 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 59c | 1,545$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.77 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 22c | 1,475$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,352$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 41c | 1,294$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.54 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 1,282$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 70c | 1,163$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.27 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 41c | 1,131$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.25 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 36c | 1,096$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…4e0abacked Yes | 12c | 864.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 38c | 853.78$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 21c | 836$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 806.03$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.35 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…43d7backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…b3babacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 44c | 590.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 23c | 525.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 66c | 507.73$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 29c | 505.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 19c | 499.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 11c | 487.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 10c | 467.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…de08backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 16.1%20 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 445.13$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 441$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 61c | 431$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 35c | 411.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…f498backed Yes | 10c | 410$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +274.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…5364backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 23c | 377.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…4399backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Yes | 6c | 359.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 42c | 359.32$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.13 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 32c | 358.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…9ca3backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 68c | 347.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 10c | 347$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 61c | 325$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c734backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 12.3%10 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5984backed No | 59c | 296.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 77c | 290.73$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…ef7fbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 32c | 283.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…2747backed Yes | 8c | 278.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e76…f0f2backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 22c | 268.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 27c | 266.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 17c | 254$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes | 9c | 249.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…0788backed Yes | 34c | 247.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Yes | 34c | 235.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.