TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b2a…7b2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT11216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Belgium to score first vs. United States?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
United States to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.7
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,020
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.4
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,056
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.5
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$2,047.5
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+1,976.8%+$5,173.18
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.17
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.5
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BK Hacken vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$2,047.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.