Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb43e05cdcc42653b0e0bf82c50e2d07328b0fa93c9dd5e4f8dabdbd0fbf36e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,065,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $969,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 14c | 129,358$18,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,430.05 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 127,097$15,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,941.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 69c | 119,998$83,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,609.59 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 5c | 31,747$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.63 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 78c | 23,044$17,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,954.78 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 4c | 21,267$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…cb01backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 17,149$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.15 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 18c | 13,386$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.68 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 12,947$9,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.87 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 4c | 12,233$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 59c | 12,215$7,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,180.31 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 12,152$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.14 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 72c | 10,994$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.76 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 32c | 10,276$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.73 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…03ebbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…bc23backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 39c | 9,213$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.16 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 59c | 9,030$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.5 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 8,312$6,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.34 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 40c | 7,681$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.01 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 58c | 7,013$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.98 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 4c | 6,818$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,818$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 6c | 6,434$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.86 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 6c | 5,958$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.29 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 51c | 5,853$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.97 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 19c | 5,789$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.8 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 27c | 5,006$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.57 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 60c | 4,378$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.92 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 4,276$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 4,274$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.99 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 4,129$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.1 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 66c | 4,073$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,823$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.45 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,609$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.14 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,580$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.07 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 8c | 3,333$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 67c | 3,217$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.74 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…0a93backed Yes | 17c | 2,878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 2,868$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.12 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 60c | 2,823$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.79 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 2,766$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.3 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 4c | 2,499$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed Yes | 4c | 2,442$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 4c | 2,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 4c | 2,331$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 4c | 2,300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…8fe8backed Yes | 15c | 2,288$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,279$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,268$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed Yes | 11c | 2,250$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 5c | 2,232$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 4c | 2,165$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…da15backed Yes | 4c | 2,161$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,157$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.33 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 9c | 2,142$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 19c | 2,114$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 33c | 2,046$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.27 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…2b2fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,921$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed No | 69c | 1,877$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.62 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Yes | 11c | 1,800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 23c | 1,768$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.07 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 7c | 1,761$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 15c | 1,600$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 51c | 1,562$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.31 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…6d74backed Yes | 46c | 1,526$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 36c | 1,478$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…6b63backed Yes | 4c | 1,462$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 117 | 15.4%18 W · 99 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,435$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 19c | 1,414$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,327$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.73 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,269$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 15c | 1,250$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 1,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,179$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,154$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Yes | 41c | 1,143$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.42 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…e097backed Yes | 18c | 1,131$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 1,095$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.29 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 67c | 1,092$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.89 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 77c | 1,048$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.22 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,008$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Yes | 37c | 1,006$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.