TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,280,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,255,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,280,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c208,166$7,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,096.162,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c126,867$4,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes10c97,943$9,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,446.5812210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes3c53,679$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.055719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c37,494$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.7856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes3c29,446$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.531567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes4c25,855$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes3c15,101$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.2725124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes4c15,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes3c10,000$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25240515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes3c8,126$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c7,088$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes3c6,999$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9826216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes3c6,405$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes3c5,832$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes3c5,714$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005714%8 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Yes3c5,714$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes3c5,196$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.221,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes4c5,113$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes3c5,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes8c4,999$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9224526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes3c4,560$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.291,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes3c3,342$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes7c3,257$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8166932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes3c3,247$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes4c3,204$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9838817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes3c3,100$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes3c3,056$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6811147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes3c3,001$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes3c3,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9652522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes3c2,979$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5327520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes3c2,941$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes2c2,780$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.827331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Yes4c2,755$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.438920.2%18 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes4c2,751$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes2c2,734$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.621,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes8c2,638$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes8c2,505$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes3c2,419$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8211218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes5c2,374$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.233235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes9c2,277$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes3c2,094$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5933510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes3c1,923$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes8c1,872$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes4c1,867$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.36729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5398…a652backed Yes3c1,724$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e51abacked Yes4c1,626$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes3c1,613$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012744.1%56 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes4c1,552$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5531119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes8c1,525$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11623022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes3c1,485$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5212517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2331…a794backed Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011828.8%34 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3c…3403backed Yes7c1,404$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.095416.7%9 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc857…a3d3backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+211.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes4c1,380$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6820725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes3c1,371$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2556022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes4c1,368$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes3c1,343$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…f6e9backed Yes7c1,341$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes4c1,330$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes4c1,321$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes4c1,300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.147321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Yes8c1,300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008431%26 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes8c1,294$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…f19abacked Yes3c1,286$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+709.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes3c1,248$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9819125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes3c1,240$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.911,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Yes8c1,192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5610726.2%28 W · 79 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes3c1,167$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes3c1,156$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…745cbacked Yes2c1,134$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0821433.2%71 W · 143 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38b…5d4abacked Yes4c1,130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes3c1,114$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586b…646cbacked Yes3c1,100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2653.1%2 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes5c1,071$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9834231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…93ffbacked Yes4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-80.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes4c999.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes4c999.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef7…e891backed Yes3c999.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305510.9%6 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes3c967.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes3c966.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f30…8941backed Yes4c922.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes4c911.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes3c909.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0022…4f07backed Yes3c859.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes4c857.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30818.6%7 W · 74 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes4c857.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c836$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…4410backed Yes3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes3c831.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7116526.1%43 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes4c824.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3c…9bb8backed Yes4c814.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes3c806.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.