Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x254b6a46618739328ff13b1cdf3bb65109d9b00b5ecd44e3d5b58d69b58c3e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,316,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,259,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,316,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 153,393$5,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,262.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…3d51backed Yes | 2c | 51,746$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…8c2bbacked Yes | 2c | 50,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 49,535$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.09 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 7c | 40,428$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 2c | 29,996$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.91 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 2c | 22,999$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 20,252$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.4 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 2c | 19,809$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 16,686$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.03 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 7c | 14,995$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.69 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 2c | 14,120$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.43 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 6c | 11,572$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 11,255$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 7c | 10,398$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.58 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…df19backed Yes | 2c | 9,091$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 7,799$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 3c | 7,145$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 6c | 6,683$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.07 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,806$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 2c | 5,764$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 2c | 5,266$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 2c | 5,165$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,947$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…60dfbacked Yes | 2c | 4,944$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Yes | 2c | 4,841$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 2c | 4,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,537$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 2c | 4,481$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 2c | 3,987$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 2c | 3,933$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 2c | 3,864$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes | 2c | 3,757$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,718$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 3c | 3,204$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 2c | 3,146$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 7c | 3,078$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 2c | 2,899$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 2c | 2,700$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…a3d3backed Yes | 2c | 2,381$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…8d49backed Yes | 4c | 2,377$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 2c | 2,323$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 2c | 2,143$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed Yes | 5c | 2,097$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 2,066$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 7c | 1,812$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 8c | 1,795$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 7c | 1,735$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,555$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe600…f923backed Yes | 5c | 1,553$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 6c | 1,531$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,487$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 2c | 1,483$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 3c | 1,454$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 2c | 1,430$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,419$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…f6e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,401$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,360$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,349$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…0750backed Yes | 8c | 1,235$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,232$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…e436backed Yes | 2c | 1,222$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 8c | 1,220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes | 2c | 1,190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 12.5%12 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 6c | 1,172$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…3d31backed Yes | 3c | 1,134$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 65 | 3.1%2 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 3c | 1,058$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…25fbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…bd6fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,050$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…840fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,011$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…ff5dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Yes | 2c | 999.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked Yes | 4c | 981.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 2c | 954.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 953.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…e6c1backed Yes | 6c | 946.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 11.9%15 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 4c | 899.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 4c | 875$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 2c | 874.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53dc…0ea6backed Yes | 2c | 838.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…0380backed Yes | 6c | 837.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 5c | 811.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 6c | 810$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.