TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,316,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,259,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,316,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c153,393$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,262.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes2c51,746$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987c…8c2bbacked Yes2c50,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c49,535$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.0956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes7c40,428$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes2c29,996$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.918913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes2c22,999$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.995743.9%25 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes2c20,252$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes2c19,809$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.51756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes2c16,686$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.031279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes7c14,995$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.6938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes2c14,120$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4373626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes6c11,572$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c11,255$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5672722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes7c10,398$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.5866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Yes2c9,091$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes2c8,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c7,799$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.974,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes3c7,145$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes6c6,683$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0733510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes3c5,806$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes2c5,764$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes2c5,266$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes2c5,165$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes2c5,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes2c5,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes2c4,947$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3068…60dfbacked Yes2c4,944$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100258%2 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes2c4,841$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.568723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes2c4,545$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes2c4,537$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.061,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes2c4,500$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.515420.8%32 W · 122 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes2c4,481$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.46729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes2c3,987$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.782,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes2c3,933$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.851,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes2c3,864$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes2c3,757$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.911612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes2c3,718$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes3c3,204$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10322216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes2c3,146$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes7c3,078$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20731611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes2c3,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5445421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes2c2,899$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes2c2,700$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.311147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc857…a3d3backed Yes2c2,381$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+211.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68f…8d49backed Yes4c2,377$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3980%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes2c2,323$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes2c2,143$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…a486backed Yes5c2,097$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes2c2,066$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes2c2,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes7c1,812$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes8c1,795$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.419017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes7c1,735$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes7c1,555$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10523022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe600…f923backed Yes5c1,553$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.732626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes6c1,531$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5928716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes2c1,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.15458.9%4 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes2c1,487$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2236627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes2c1,483$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0833729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes3c1,454$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes2c1,430$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes7c1,419$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3529017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…f6e9backed Yes7c1,401$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes2c1,360$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1245820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes2c1,349$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6753920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5963…0750backed Yes8c1,235$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004112.2%5 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes2c1,232$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabf…e436backed Yes2c1,222$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes8c1,220$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes2c1,190$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259612.5%12 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes6c1,172$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa018…3d31backed Yes3c1,134$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309221.7%20 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586b…646cbacked Yes2c1,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9653.1%2 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes3c1,058$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0145627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Yes2c1,050$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1816526.1%43 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf3…bd6fbacked Yes7c1,050$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…840fbacked Yes7c1,011$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012114.9%18 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea2…ff5dbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011127.9%31 W · 80 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked Yes2c999.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219035.6%32 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220e…61fbbacked Yes4c981.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40238.7%2 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+164.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes2c954.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206219.4%12 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes2c953.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.112888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes2c952.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc27…e6c1backed Yes6c946.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559123.1%21 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012611.9%15 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes4c899.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes4c875$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes2c874.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53dc…0ea6backed Yes2c838.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…0380backed Yes6c837.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes5c811.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3127034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes6c810$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.746319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.