TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,150,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,053,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,150,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes17c144,108$24,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,192.7812210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c139,838$12,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,370.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c77,270$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.542,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes3c45,603$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.925124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes3c33,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes3c20,599$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.9819332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes3c20,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes3c11,579$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.341567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes14c10,690$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.8712810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes3c10,066$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7840515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes3c9,091$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes3c7,999$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9726216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes3c7,788$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250452.2%1 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes3c7,190$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7119125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes5c6,464$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.26729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes3c6,409$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes5c6,259$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.81,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes3c6,000$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19835229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes17c5,962$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes19c5,916$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.5312536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes3c5,882$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes15c5,640$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.3266932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Yes19c5,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.695717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes16c4,677$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.267613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes3c4,412$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes5c4,255$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes17c4,000$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.2318027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b91…8e2abacked Yes15c3,500$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.51926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes6c3,329$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Yes6c3,192$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes3c3,105$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9353920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes3c3,100$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes15c3,000$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes3c2,958$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5963…0750backed Yes3c2,929$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.64112.2%5 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fe…46d0backed Yes3c2,888$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.23030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes3c2,880$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0435110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes3c2,820$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes3c2,687$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3227520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes19c2,675$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005217.3%9 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes6c2,409$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes3c2,353$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes3c2,353$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes3c2,347$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes18c2,236$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes1c2,200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes14c2,138$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.717816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes3c2,116$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.45323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes15c2,050$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.520532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes3c2,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes5c1,987$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes5c1,949$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5912744.1%56 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa761…cc81backed Yes15c1,934$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.481329.8%13 W · 119 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes3c1,911$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes14c1,800$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252639.5%6 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Yes3c1,765$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608920.2%18 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e51abacked Yes3c1,706$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes15c1,628$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.662,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes19c1,585$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes3c1,529$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4931520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes3c1,515$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2331…a794backed Yes3c1,471$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011828.8%34 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes3c1,444$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.245925.4%15 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes17c1,428$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24831611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes3c1,424$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes3c1,397$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9152522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes3c1,382$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc857…a3d3backed Yes4c1,375$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+211.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes8c1,375$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes15c1,334$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c1,326$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes15c1,300$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8548526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes15c1,259$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1829017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes15c1,205$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes3c1,167$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586b…646cbacked Yes3c1,100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2653.1%2 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes10c1,090$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…93ffbacked Yes3c1,029$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-80.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0918…7363backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006030%18 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52d…99dabacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306212.9%8 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+120%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…3eadbacked Yes3c999.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3c…3403backed Yes15c996.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.555416.7%9 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd1…c14ebacked Yes3c978$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8280%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes15c951.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.551,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes15c940.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4653514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes3c909.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de3…bc56backed Yes3c909.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306311.1%7 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid+7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f72…630cbacked Yes3c882.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30529.6%5 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes3c882.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes3c882.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30818.6%7 W · 74 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes3c882.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa018…3d31backed Yes5c854$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409221.7%20 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.