Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88391507037ef4cf1cef5019227f82f23f46d7fe8598bca5bb46ac7ca8b8d380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 8c | 100,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 52,766$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 51,039$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.63 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 7c | 28,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 13,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 8,714$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 7c | 7,462$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.34 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 7c | 5,065$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4646…f693backed Yes | 8c | 4,819$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,514$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 8c | 3,066$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…0a93backed Yes | 8c | 2,603$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…2957backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…df19backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,457$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 8c | 2,397$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 7c | 2,011$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 1,878$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,589$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 8c | 1,583$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,427$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…4f48backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 8c | 1,163$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…0dc0backed Yes | 8c | 1,038$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…a28abacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…b60cbacked Yes | 8c | 900.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…b8debacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 12.4%11 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 8c | 728$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…2f89backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 9c | 696.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 31.3%71 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…784abacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 4c | 611.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…5d4abacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 8c | 564$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 134 | 38.1%51 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 8c | 557$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4e69backed Yes | 8c | 549.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…0d36backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes | 9c | 477.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 8c | 458.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 424.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 8c | 380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…c9ccbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c4…1be6backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…cbbabacked Yes | 8c | 368.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 7c | 364.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…e98bbacked Yes | 9c | 347.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Yes | 8c | 330.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 18.8%32 W · 138 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…06e7backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…edcbbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 124 | 16.9%21 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…64f7backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…8475backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…3bedbacked Yes | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Yes | 7c | 253$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…a794backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…084ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…9c54backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3184…525fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 32.8%67 W · 137 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…70c2backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…840fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a652backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9c32backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…31b8backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…c003backed Yes | 8c | 212$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…e7babacked Yes | 7c | 205.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 7c | 203.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…127bbacked Yes | 7c | 203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.