TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$482,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$421,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes8c100,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c52,766$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes8c51,039$3,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.632,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes7c30,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes7c28,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes7c13,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c8,714$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes7c7,462$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.342,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes7c5,065$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5412810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4646…f693backed Yes8c4,819$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes8c3,514$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes8c3,066$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.291,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Yes8c2,603$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe2…2957backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005750.9%29 W · 28 L+9.4wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes8c2,457$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0130214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes8c2,397$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes7c2,011$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7735514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes7c1,878$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.26729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes7c1,714$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes8c1,589$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes8c1,583$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12035719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes8c1,427$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.412,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes8c1,163$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9314243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes8c1,038$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838220.7%17 W · 65 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad81…a28abacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707025.7%18 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed81…b60cbacked Yes8c900.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.052420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick14cpaid-9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes7c857.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b21…b8debacked Yes8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608912.4%11 W · 78 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes8c728$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2434751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09c7…2f89backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50254%1 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick10cpaid+90.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes9c696.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.657142.3%30 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes4c611.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38b…5d4abacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Yes8c564$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1213438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes8c557$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5627744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8546…4e69backed Yes8c549.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.963119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes9c477.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4316230.2%49 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes8c458.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0253920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes7c424.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816727.5%46 W · 121 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes8c380$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.430215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a8…c9ccbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19c4…1be6backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5367…cbbabacked Yes8c368.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56512.3%8 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes7c364.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66e…e98bbacked Yes9c347.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Yes8c330.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517018.8%32 W · 138 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe101…06e7backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255435.2%19 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548334.2%165 W · 318 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51d…edcbbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412416.9%21 W · 103 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca0e…64f7backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010319.4%20 W · 83 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20967.3%7 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3975…8475backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204219%8 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccbb…3bedbacked Yes8c275$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d69…f09fbacked Yes7c253$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.717644.7%34 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2331…a794backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011828.8%34 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207323.3%17 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.532042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3184…525fbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207514.7%11 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020432.8%67 W · 137 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030818.5%57 W · 251 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1234…70c2backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205032%16 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…840fbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012114.9%18 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209437.2%35 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe888…74fdbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027128.4%77 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes7c249.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes7c242.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712733.9%43 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5398…a652backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes7c220$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.435110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…e910backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510311.7%12 W · 91 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecc…9c32backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39b…31b8backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5c…c003backed Yes8c212$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.966615.2%10 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36c…e7babacked Yes7c205.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes7c203.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2487938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a7…127bbacked Yes7c203$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.214119.5%8 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.