TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$583,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c117,978$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes5c102,474$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes5c20,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes5c20,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9808913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes5c14,070$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes1c11,950$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0433235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes5c9,698$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes5c7,143$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes5c6,122$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Yes5c6,122$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes5c5,192$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.891,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes2c5,069$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.811,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5e…17f9backed Yes5c5,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes5c5,000$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23536024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes5c4,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes5c3,204$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16220816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes5c3,061$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes5c3,017$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes5c3,000$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.994822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes5c2,349$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.322187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6594…9a61backed Yes5c2,267$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108124.7%20 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes5c2,059$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8824635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes5c2,041$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010536.2%38 W · 67 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1743…e614backed Yes5c2,031$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011132.4%36 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes2c2,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes5c1,607$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6333510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes5c1,600$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.240515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b2…1becbacked Yes5c1,367$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes5c1,354$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes5c1,200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.845421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99ef…fefdbacked Yes4c1,190$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505427.8%15 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes5c1,075$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5398…a652backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a8e…664abacked Yes5c1,047$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.325827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes5c1,042$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…a370backed Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015517.4%27 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498121%17 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes5c1,000$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes5c999.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819332.6%63 W · 130 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes5c963.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes5c959.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes5c918.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516013.8%22 W · 138 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38b…5d4abacked Yes4c901.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes4c837.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.512,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes5c816.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes5c816.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c8…93abbacked Yes5c816.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes2c815.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Yes4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.627837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes5c797$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8536627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed Yes4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289230.4%28 W · 64 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…5e57backed Yes5c673.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337432.4%24 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0e1…1f14backed Yes3c666.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed Yes5c666.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.664526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes5c612.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301005%5 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c8…6327backed Yes5c612.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309015.6%14 W · 76 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes5c612.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30818.6%7 W · 74 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…dbc5backed Yes3c609.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206129.5%18 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes5c592.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0410311.7%12 W · 91 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebe…3cbdbacked Yes4c564.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1790%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5816…8167backed Yes5c554.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016920.1%34 W · 135 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc3c…3403backed Yes5c550$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.755416.7%9 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes5c511.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9153920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes5c510.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6242…4410backed Yes5c510.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x331c…974ebacked Yes5c510.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes5c500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.513112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f82…efe0backed Yes5c499.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes5c489.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.019717.5%17 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8851…4e02backed Yes5c434.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208010%8 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…e85dbacked Yes5c425.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019120.9%40 W · 151 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes5c423.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012313.8%17 W · 106 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Yes5c416.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc973…5d47backed Yes5c412.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209012.2%11 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207323.3%17 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022518.2%41 W · 184 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ff34backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020343.8%89 W · 114 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206726.9%18 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9a…89a5backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204040%16 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.