Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee57a03219f0387ae68cc5a018b4d135f755c609cb172f0e67f666e7694f83da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 117,978$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 102,474$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 5c | 14,070$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.36 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 1c | 11,950$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 5c | 9,698$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 5c | 7,143$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,122$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…df19backed Yes | 5c | 6,122$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 5c | 5,192$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.89 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 5,069$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…17f9backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 5c | 4,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 5c | 3,204$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 5c | 3,061$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 5c | 3,017$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,349$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…9a61backed Yes | 5c | 2,267$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 5c | 2,059$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…e614backed Yes | 5c | 2,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…c232backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,607$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…1becbacked Yes | 5c | 1,367$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,354$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…fefdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 1,075$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a652backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8e…664abacked Yes | 5c | 1,047$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 31.3%71 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…f702backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 5c | 999.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 5c | 963.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 5c | 959.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 5c | 918.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…5d4abacked Yes | 4c | 901.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 4c | 837.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 5c | 816.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 5c | 816.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…93abbacked Yes | 5c | 816.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 815.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Yes | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 5c | 797$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…5e57backed Yes | 5c | 673.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…1f14backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed Yes | 5c | 666.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 5c | 612.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…6327backed Yes | 5c | 612.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 15.6%14 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 5c | 612.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…dbc5backed Yes | 3c | 609.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 592.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…3cbdbacked Yes | 4c | 564.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 5c | 554.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…3403backed Yes | 5c | 550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 5c | 511.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…4410backed Yes | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331c…974ebacked Yes | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…efe0backed Yes | 5c | 499.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 5c | 489.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…4e02backed Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…e85dbacked Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes | 5c | 423.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Yes | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…5d47backed Yes | 5c | 412.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…084ebacked Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…89a5backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.