TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,492,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,454,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,492,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes10c307,600$30,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,695.912,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c187,330$17,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,860.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes10c101,550$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes9c60,216$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.4821343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes10c57,842$5,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,612.7730214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes9c28,742$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.7435514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes10c23,795$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes9c20,302$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.1238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes10c20,001$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes10c18,597$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.811,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes10c15,424$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.27416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes10c11,317$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.5178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes10c11,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes9c10,666$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a31…168ebacked Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes9c7,892$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.268913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes10c7,350$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes10c7,332$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.471,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes8c6,688$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0440515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes9c6,500$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.9912015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes9c6,212$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0727520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes10c4,737$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7456022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes10c4,725$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes10c4,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes12c3,895$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Yes2c3,500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes8c3,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes10c3,450$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34511914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…df19backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes11c2,883$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes10c2,883$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.941567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c2,723$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.754,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes10c2,556$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes10c2,490$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2496729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9834231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc05d…bcafbacked Yes9c2,215$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes10c2,100$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfb…abb4backed Yes10c2,100$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e7c…6392backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes10c1,960$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19620816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes10c1,929$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8612923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes9c1,911$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes10c1,880$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18830219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes10c1,808$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3712117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes2c1,550$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9925643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes10c1,540$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1659017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3250…c232backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes10c1,491$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes10c1,440$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14422914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc532…e71dbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802d…55b5backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes9c1,110$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.848320.5%17 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d20…d646backed Yes10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015936.5%58 W · 101 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes10c1,011$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.947622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1743…e614backed Yes10c1,010$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011132.4%36 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes10c1,010$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d48…0253backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3237…3a22backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea5…a370backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015517.4%27 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682b…59d8backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…e49ebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.