Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81326bc1935fac5ae467486918bd2f554ae26ae4ead3802d1a2cb2cbd2a955ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,492,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,454,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,492,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 307,600$30,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,695.91 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 187,330$17,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,860.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 10c | 101,550$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 9c | 60,216$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.48 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 10c | 57,842$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.77 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 9c | 28,742$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.74 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 10c | 23,795$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.5 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 9c | 20,302$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.12 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Yes | 10c | 20,001$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 10c | 18,597$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.81 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 10c | 15,424$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.2 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 10c | 11,317$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.51 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b45cbacked Yes | 10c | 11,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 92 | 18.5%17 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 9c | 10,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…168ebacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 9c | 7,892$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.26 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 10c | 7,350$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 10c | 7,332$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.47 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 8c | 6,688$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.04 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 9c | 6,500$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.99 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 9c | 6,212$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 10c | 4,737$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.74 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 10c | 4,725$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 12c | 3,895$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.28 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 10c | 3,450$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…df19backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,883$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 10c | 2,883$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 2,723$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 10c | 2,556$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 10c | 2,490$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05d…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 2,215$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 10c | 2,100$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…abb4backed Yes | 10c | 2,100$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…6392backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 10c | 1,960$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 10c | 1,929$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,911$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 10c | 1,880$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,808$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,550$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 10c | 1,540$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…c232backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,491$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 10c | 1,440$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e71dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…55b5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 9c | 1,110$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,011$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…e614backed Yes | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d48…0253backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…3a22backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…4f48backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682b…59d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…e49ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.