Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaeba494e345b472e3cc79117b4a62a4172330fb86ebe4db607e438f9ffdc768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 23,274$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Yes | 3c | 13,449$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.45 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 9,794$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 3c | 7,224$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 3c | 7,107$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 3c | 6,067$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 3c | 3,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 3c | 3,161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 3c | 2,283$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,931$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…5179backed Yes | 3c | 1,852$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a652backed Yes | 3c | 1,724$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 3c | 1,699$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,410$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes | 3c | 1,379$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…df60backed Yes | 3c | 1,258$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Yes | 3c | 1,030$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 3c | 990.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 3c | 949.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7347…bf18backed Yes | 3c | 834.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…c983backed Yes | 3c | 794.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 3c | 780$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 3c | 757.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 3c | 748.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…ec31backed Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…9fd2backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…4e02backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…900fbacked Yes | 3c | 678.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…64f7backed Yes | 3c | 648.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 3c | 617.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 3c | 571.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…cf01backed Yes | 3c | 548.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 3c | 535.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 2c | 521.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 3c | 501.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Yes | 3c | 428.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 3c | 390$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Yes | 3c | 336.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.