TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa80e…9fd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT22216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 222 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,769.14
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$195
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.61
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.58
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.97
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.18
Showing 25 of 222 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10223.5%24 W · 78 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.29
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.3
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.63
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+487.3%+$419.08
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+74.8%+$36.65
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+733.3%+$108.95
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115.6
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$149
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$254
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.67
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$229.32
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+97.3%+$389.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$165.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.