TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,906,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,303,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,906,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c272,119$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,991.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed Yes2c255,913$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes2c190,000$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes2c104,058$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.6875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes2c51,819$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.928913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes2c48,089$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.822,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584d…62e0backed Yes2c40,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6804511.1%5 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes1c38,744$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1923427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes2c30,987$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.581,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes1c30,349$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8829916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes2c28,945$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.1724028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes1c28,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.42714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes1c26,375$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.571756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes2c26,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes2c24,193$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8417518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes2c19,638$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes2c18,666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes1c17,259$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.86355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes1c16,448$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes1c15,857$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22211914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes2c15,828$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes2c15,734$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0119517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes2c15,512$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235316.5%2 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…fda7backed Yes2c14,894$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.97140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes2c14,231$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1611616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb7…ea8cbacked Yes2c14,204$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes1c13,833$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes2c12,539$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6338329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes2c12,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…2a61backed Yes2c11,939$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.766642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf72c…0fe6backed Yes2c11,748$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes2c10,983$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200296.9%2 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Yes2c10,851$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.56119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes2c10,750$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2520725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbece…a74dbacked Yes2c10,587$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.86258%2 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-79.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Yes2c10,526$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007220.8%15 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c4…0248backed Yes0c10,417$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes2c10,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes2c9,999$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9826618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes2c9,542$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c8,851$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.11735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes2c8,786$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.981,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff5…8dbcbacked Yes2c8,571$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…5769backed Yes1c7,700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes1c7,692$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes1c7,390$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.86729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes2c7,219$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.95412.4%1 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-96.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3068…60dfbacked Yes1c7,143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100258%2 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Yes1c6,942$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick18cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc34…b4a9backed Yes1c6,855$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.97616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+282.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes2c6,748$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.781,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes1c6,743$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.429017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes1c6,696$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes2c6,368$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Yes2c6,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc09b…1478backed Yes2c5,938$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes2c5,938$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes2c5,882$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100621.6%1 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3415…1fb1backed Yes2c5,649$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes2c5,636$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905714%8 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d3c…da5abacked Yes1c5,595$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7080%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes2c5,473$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes2c5,422$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.594422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes2c5,287$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed32…df4abacked Yes2c5,263$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100636.3%4 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes1c5,037$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae0…7483backed Yes1c5,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65533.8%2 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaed8…9730backed Yes2c4,678$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b47…f367backed Yes2c4,412$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70220%0 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…dcdfbacked Yes2c4,309$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes1c4,293$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.94504%2 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c9…67c6backed Yes2c4,278$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.566322.2%14 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes2c3,947$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes2c3,922$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606219.4%12 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes2c3,879$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0735229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0060…5dd4backed Yes2c3,784$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517312.7%22 W · 151 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes1c3,687$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9520013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes1c3,650$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3373626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de5…2bc0backed Yes1c3,571$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505612.5%7 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes2c3,542$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5a…fac4backed Yes1c3,371$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes1c3,271$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.835110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dac…9220backed Yes1c3,233$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.494122%9 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes1c3,147$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb67…3a79backed Yes2c3,146$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes2c3,125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e31…f879backed Yes2c3,125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-90.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes2c3,062$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.99773.9%3 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes1c3,014$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6992732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7a…28e3backed Yes1c2,991$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.463125.8%8 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes2c2,967$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3523218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Yes2c2,941$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50258%2 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe43a…7b29backed Yes2c2,800$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb721…24f0backed Yes2c2,778$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-81.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3362…a769backed Yes2c2,778$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505922%13 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Yes1c2,769$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Yes1c2,768$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…0a02backed Yes1c2,672$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406816.2%11 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes2c2,668$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.