Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dfeb44e97dbd3e9614b4c42a7e3e251cfb1a3efcee077e3e9c44a4448401596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,906,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,303,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,906,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 272,119$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…4df2backed Yes | 2c | 255,913$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 2c | 190,000$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 2c | 104,058$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.68 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 2c | 51,819$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.92 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 48,089$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.82 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…62e0backed Yes | 2c | 40,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 1c | 38,744$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 2c | 30,987$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.58 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 1c | 30,349$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.88 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 2c | 28,945$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.17 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 1c | 28,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 1c | 26,375$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.57 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 2c | 26,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 2c | 24,193$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.84 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 19,638$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.55 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 2c | 18,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 1c | 17,259$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 16,448$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 1c | 15,857$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 2c | 15,828$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 2c | 15,734$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,512$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…fda7backed Yes | 2c | 14,894$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 2c | 14,231$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…ea8cbacked Yes | 2c | 14,204$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,833$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 2c | 12,539$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…2a61backed Yes | 2c | 11,939$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…0fe6backed Yes | 2c | 11,748$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,983$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,851$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 2c | 10,750$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbece…a74dbacked Yes | 2c | 10,587$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…1762backed Yes | 2c | 10,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…0248backed Yes | 0c | 10,417$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 2c | 9,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 2c | 9,542$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 8,851$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 2c | 8,786$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…8dbcbacked Yes | 2c | 8,571$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…5769backed Yes | 1c | 7,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 1c | 7,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 1c | 7,390$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,219$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…60dfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Yes | 1c | 6,942$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…b4a9backed Yes | 1c | 6,855$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +282.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 2c | 6,748$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 1c | 6,743$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 1c | 6,696$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,368$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 2c | 5,938$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,938$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…80f0backed Yes | 2c | 5,882$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 2c | 5,649$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,636$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…da5abacked Yes | 1c | 5,595$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes | 2c | 5,473$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 2c | 5,422$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 2c | 5,287$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…df4abacked Yes | 2c | 5,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 1c | 5,037$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed8…9730backed Yes | 2c | 4,678$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b47…f367backed Yes | 2c | 4,412$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…dcdfbacked Yes | 2c | 4,309$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 1c | 4,293$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…67c6backed Yes | 2c | 4,278$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,947$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,922$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 2c | 3,879$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 2c | 3,784$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 1c | 3,687$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,650$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…2bc0backed Yes | 1c | 3,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,542$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…fac4backed Yes | 1c | 3,371$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 1c | 3,271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dac…9220backed Yes | 1c | 3,233$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 1c | 3,147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…3a79backed Yes | 2c | 3,146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e31…f879backed Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,062$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,014$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…28e3backed Yes | 1c | 2,991$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 2c | 2,967$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Yes | 2c | 2,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43a…7b29backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…24f0backed Yes | 2c | 2,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…a769backed Yes | 2c | 2,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 1c | 2,769$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 1c | 2,768$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…0a02backed Yes | 1c | 2,672$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 2c | 2,668$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 22.6%31 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.