Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f510f822156debfc672c80320c2231494d2abd5553173eb01c6ce979e0ab5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $916,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $916,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 199,749$15,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,767.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 30,170$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.28 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 28,332$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce9…a32dbacked Yes | 15c | 24,800$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 17c | 19,820$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.26 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 8c | 18,700$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 8c | 16,513$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.04 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 9c | 12,299$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.53 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 7c | 12,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 17c | 11,306$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.64 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…c956backed Yes | 16c | 11,039$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 14c | 10,089$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.64 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…83b7backed Yes | 12c | 8,459$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 7c | 7,482$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.01 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…6c3dbacked Yes | 11c | 7,273$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 8c | 7,188$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…df4abacked Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 8c | 6,003$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.47 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 6,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 5,565$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…550cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,917$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,417$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 4,296$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…fa63backed Yes | 8c | 3,300$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 15c | 3,187$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 15c | 3,117$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…98eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,930$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 10c | 2,779$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,692$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,537$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 11c | 2,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…72d9backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…9798backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 8c | 2,147$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 7c | 2,142$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,094$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 7c | 2,029$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,900$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…0f15backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,800$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,625$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 9c | 1,607$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…a463backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +233.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…25abbacked Yes | 16c | 1,535$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,308$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 15c | 1,253$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…f68cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…575fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…86f0backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…f156backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…7d2ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +395.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…4ae5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 5.9%4 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…5b3fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…f276backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +310.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…5aafbacked Yes | 8c | 1,184$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 8c | 1,141$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…e1adbacked Yes | 8c | 1,128$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ef…2c2bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,086$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 15c | 1,047$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Yes | 11c | 1,040$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…de08backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 124 | 16.1%20 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…cf4ebacked Yes | 14c | 990.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 8c | 953.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 949.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa984…5e22backed Yes | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 13c | 898.84$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…13febacked Yes | 15c | 847.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…a9d6backed Yes | 8c | 830.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 9c | 798.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 8c | 787.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 7c | 759.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 7c | 669$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…2a2fbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…4574backed Yes | 8c | 645.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.