Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8f012aea6d1e1d9458a0d1dd1981b62d64b0adfcdac8c4774802e514551816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,447,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $840,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,447,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 295,260$10,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,104.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 4c | 230,444$9,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,626.54 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 49,987$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 7c | 30,571$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.86 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Yes | 7c | 29,906$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.52 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 27,617$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.63 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 5c | 26,666$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.08 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 3c | 24,325$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 11c | 18,481$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.45 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 3c | 18,460$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 3c | 15,743$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.05 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…0e1bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,167$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 3c | 14,286$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2bf2backed Yes | 3c | 12,603$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 11,659$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 6c | 9,959$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.65 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,667$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…f4d2backed Yes | 0c | 8,562$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 7,634$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.83 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 8c | 6,260$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.36 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes | 5c | 6,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 10c | 6,041$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes | 3c | 5,880$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 7c | 5,814$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.85 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 5c | 5,681$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.49 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 5,605$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.15 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 3c | 5,357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…4419backed Yes | 6c | 4,859$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…df4abacked Yes | 5c | 4,625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,412$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…f276backed Yes | 3c | 4,412$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +310.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…89a3backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…3493backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…fa63backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…5d4bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 3c | 3,201$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes | 3c | 2,963$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…7271backed Yes | 3c | 2,941$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,941$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…8f7ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,889$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,727$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 3c | 2,588$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 3c | 2,333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…4125backed Yes | 3c | 2,315$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…4f4cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,282$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed Yes | 7c | 2,257$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,084$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…e6c1backed Yes | 3c | 2,067$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 5c | 1,996$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…f7b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,900$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 128 | 11.7%15 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…4028backed Yes | 3c | 1,889$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd46…6d48backed Yes | 5c | 1,842$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,835$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…9c89backed Yes | 3c | 1,786$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 39.3%79 W · 122 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 3c | 1,766$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,758$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…3c83backed Yes | 3c | 1,741$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf173…e01dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,732$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ca…a6ecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,696$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…41d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,686$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e31…f879backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 3c | 1,663$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 3c | 1,655$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,558$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…5c52backed Yes | 6c | 1,550$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…6753backed Yes | 3c | 1,533$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +148%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 5c | 1,510$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,510$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…08eebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Yes | 7c | 1,471$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…f8a3backed Yes | 3c | 1,471$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 19.2%25 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee89…f498backed Yes | 3c | 1,446$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…4897backed Yes | 3c | 1,429$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…ea5abacked Yes | 3c | 1,381$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5963…0750backed Yes | 3c | 1,300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,289$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 13c | 1,278$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 8c | 1,238$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff0…f9cfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…e787backed Yes | 3c | 1,165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 3c | 1,160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…630bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +172%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fc…a05ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,143$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…c5ccbacked Yes | 13c | 1,134$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +12.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…cc81backed Yes | 4c | 1,077$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 132 | 9.8%13 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 3c | 1,033$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 3c | 1,012$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Yes | 3c | 1,002$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 234 | 49.1%115 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…efe5backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 15.1%11 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 11.9%15 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.